How Many Replacement Heifers Do You Really Need To Keep?
In today's dairy industry, managing heifer inventory strategically is essential for profitability. Overproduction of heifers can strain resources, while too few replacements may risk herd productivity. The goal is to achieve balance through data-driven planning and focused management.
Why Heifer Inventory Matters
Heifer raising costs represent one of the largest investments in dairy operations. Raising more heifers than necessary, inflates feed costs and turnover rates. Conversely, raising too few heifers forces producers to retain underperforming cows. A carefully calculated inventory ensures efficient replacement, herd improvement, and profitability.
Efficient heifer management reduces overfeeding costs, ensures timely replacements, and supports the genetic progress of a herd.
The Math Behind Heifer Numbers
A simple formula can be used for calculating replacement needs:

This formula accounts for herd culling, calving age, and heifer losses before calving. As management practices improve—such as lowering calving age to 22–23 months and reducing calf mortality to near 2%—farms can maintain their herds with 70% to 80% as many heifers as cows, rather than the traditional 110% ratio.
Tools for Smarter Management
Modern tools and strategies can optimize inventory control:
- Genomic testing: Allows producers to identify top-performing animals, improving culling and breeding choices.
- Sexed semen programs: Help balance future replacement needs without overproduction.
- Monthly inventory tracking: Helps forecast replacement timing and align herd turnover rates.
- Culling strategies: Early culling of underperforming heifers saves money and allows the herd to keep only those animals that will perform well.
- Beef-on-Dairy: provides another avenue of income for animals that do not need to stay in the herd.
- Using data and genomic insights together, dairy managers can ensure that every calf adds value—either genetically or economically.
The Bottom Line
Unless you have arranged to raise replacements for other farms, experts agree raising fewer, better heifers is now more efficient and profitable than maintaining bloated inventories. Fewer replacements translate to less overcrowding, lower rearing costs, improved feed allocation, and enhanced herd longevity .
Ultimately, a successful heifer inventory program requires regular evaluation, precise record keeping, and a willingness to adapt breeding and culling decisions to evolving herd dynamics. For dairy producers, the right number of the right heifers is not just a management goal—it’s the foundation for a sustainable future.
Sources:
Tips to Determine the Right Number of Replacement Heifers for Your Dairy - Dairy Herd Management
Calculating Heifer Numbers | Extension
Managing Heifer Inventory on the Dairy - Dairy Producer
Written by: Mariah Gull, M.S.